Darvaza Gas Crater, Turkmenistan
Political Economy · History · IR

Jonathon P Sine

Student. Scholar. Seeker.

"Gate to Hell" · Darvaza Gas Crater, Turkmenistan · 2016 · Photo Credit: MN (& ZA, DR)
PhD, International RelationsIncoming American University SIS Fall 2026
MA, International Political Economy Johns Hopkins SAIS 2020
BA, Political Economy University of Southern California 2016
2025 Emergent Ventures grant recipient "to study China."

I think, read, and write about how human societies evolve, function, and flourish. My focus areas span political economy, history, natural science, evolutionary theory, technology, and finance. My current research focuses on state capacity, industrial policy, and the deep history of state development.

One of my passions is fishing for experiences that change my mental models. I've spent time in 30+ countries, often in interesting fashion, such as driving from London to Mongolia in a run-down Nissan Micra or taking a motor rickshaw across the entirety of India. I spent most of 2024 living in China and Taiwan, where among other things I liberated a chicken in a rural village and circumnavigated the island of Formosa by bike, and speak Chinese passably (HSK6).

I believe in a unity of mind and body. For many years I have engaged in weight lifting, calisthenics, and running and recently begun practicing BJJ. At present you will find me in DC, appreciating American infrastructure on WMATA metro or enjoying modern technology atop a OneWheel.

Cogitations

Writing that excavates the social scaffolding

3,000+ subscribers · Est. 2021

August 27, 2025

Litigation Nation, Engineering Empire

A review of Dan Wang's Breakneck. Is China an "engineering state" against America the "lawyerly society"?

July 18, 2025

Industrial Colossus: China vs 1950s America

China's global manufacturing share to 2035. The pre-WWI analogy is faulty.

July 15, 2025

The Stalinist Transformation of Russia

A thematic review of Stephen Kotkin's Stalin: Paradoxes of Power.

June 16, 2025

The Life and Times of Xi Zhongxun

The Party's interests come first. Joseph Torigian's magisterial new biography.

February 2, 2025

From Reform to Ruin in the USSR

The Soviet Collapse: Botched reform or entrenched bureaucracy?

April 2, 2024

The Rise and Fall of LGFVs

How China's local government financing vehicles became its most complex economic challenge.

December 2, 2022

The Cold Wind of Historical Nihilism

Lessons from CCP documentaries on the fall of the Soviet Union.

September 30, 2021

Groping the Elephant of Common Prosperity

Common Prosperity is about Common Purpose.

July 6, 2021

The Long Game by Rush Doshi

Hundred-Year Marathon 2.0?

June 30, 2021

The Dialectic of Development

Industrial Policy and the Living Legacy of Internal Colonization.

May 9, 2021

Financialization: Is it Worse in the PRC?

On the conservative financialization thesis and its limits in China.

March 24, 2021

Atomization and the Future of the CPC

On social cohesion, loose sand, and the Party's dilemma.

Full Archive on Substack →
Data

Research Datasets

Open-source datasets tracking elite composition in single-party states, with interactive visualizations and full data available for download.

China · 1945–Present
CPC Elite Leadership
A comprehensive database of every member elected to the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee, Politburo, and Politburo Standing Committee — the three bodies that govern 1.4 billion people.
4,324 CC Members
170 Politburo Members
85 PSC Members
14 Congresses
Explore Dataset →
USSR · 1917–1991
The Soviet Elite
Every member of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union's Central Committee from the Bolshevik Revolution through the collapse — tracking the full lifecycle of a superpower's ruling class.
4,480 CC Members
22 Party Congresses
74 Years Covered
Explore Dataset →
Archive

Earlier Writing & Academic Papers

Essays, book reviews, and academic work from the original collection.

AcademicPrestige in International Relations PDF AcademicFrontier Investor Risk in Uzbekistan PDF ChinaAtomization and the Future of the CCP Pol. EconomyFinancialization: America's Dutch Disease Foreign PolicyConsolidation and Decadence: The Fate of States Foreign PolicyThe Path to Hell is Paved with Righteousness HistoryThe Soviet Intervention into Afghanistan
A tale of ideology, power, and fear
Foreign PolicyPolitics and Pathogens Book ReviewThe Great Wall Mentality
Julia Lovell's The Great Wall
Book ReviewFounding Brothers
Joseph J. Ellis
Book Review21 Lessons for the 21st Century
Yuval Noah Harari
Book ReviewTrade Wars Are Class Wars Book ReviewHistory and Contemplation
Peter Frankopan's The Silk Roads
“The refusal of one decent man
outweighs the acquiescence of the multitude.”
Sima Qian, trans. G.R. Barmé, via Simon Leys

If you have thoughts about my thoughts, or the ideas strike a chord, reach out.

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